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Wall Street Debates Alphabet's Search Outlook as Google Cloud Surges 82%

Rosenblatt Securities argues AI search threats are largely priced in, shifting focus to Alphabet's accelerating cloud division.

By The Company Wire4 min read
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Alphabet Inc. — Wall Street Debates Alphabet's Search Outlook as Google Cloud Surges 82%
Alphabet Inc. — Wall Street Debates Alphabet's Search Outlook as Google Cloud Surges 82%. Photo: Yahoo Finance.

Wall Street analysts are debating whether artificial intelligence chatbots still pose an existential threat to Alphabet Inc.'s core search model, following a recent initiation by Rosenblatt Securities analyst Scott Devitt, as first reported by Yahoo Finance. Devitt assigned a Buy rating to the technology giant on Aug. 19, taking the stance that market anxieties surrounding conversational AI tools eroding Google Search have largely played out.

Despite maintaining a dominant 90% share of global search query volume, Alphabet faces persistent pressure as users increasingly leverage AI interfaces to locate information. To defend its ecosystem, the company recently implemented its first major search box redesign in 25 years, introducing an embedded "AI Mode" button. Simultaneously, features such as AI Overviews and the Gemini assistant have expanded the breadth of user inquiries processed across its infrastructure.

Alphabet's second-quarter financial results presented a subtle slowdown in search momentum. Revenue for the Google Search & other segment grew 17% year-over-year to reach $63.3 billion, snapping a continuous streak of accelerating gains. Prior quarterly growth had systematically climbed from 10% in the first quarter of 2025 to 12%, 15%, 17%, and 19% in the first quarter of 2026. The second-quarter revenue figure landed just below Wall Street consensus expectations of $63.4 billion.

The broader quarterly release was dominated by a $99 billion unrealized paper gain on equity investments alongside elevated capital expenditures. Meanwhile, user engagement across Alphabet's consumer AI portfolio accelerated significantly. The company's Gemini product surpassed 1 billion monthly active users by August 2026, making it the fastest-growing application in Alphabet's history.

While search revenue saw a modest dip in momentum, Google Cloud delivered substantial operational expansion. Cloud segment revenue jumped 82% year-over-year to $24.8 billion during the second quarter. Segment operating income more than tripled, climbing from $2.8 billion in the year-ago period to $8.8 billion.

Rosenblatt highlighted that Google Cloud's operational momentum, supported by custom Tensor Processing Unit (TPU) hardware monetization and planned infrastructure buildouts beyond 2027, will drive the next stage of Alphabet's operating margin expansion. Under the firm's framework, a potential growth slowdown in the cloud division represents a greater risk to valuation than fresh headwinds in search.

Institutional investment managers continue to maintain heavy exposure to the tech conglomerate. Data tracked by Insider Monkey showed that 265 hedge funds held Alphabet shares at the end of the first quarter, down from 288 in the prior quarter. Second-quarter institutional filings showed Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway holding approximately 78.8 million shares valued at $28.2 billion, alongside multi-billion-dollar positions from Fisher Asset Management and Arrowstreet Capital.

Sources

  1. Yahoo Finance

Company: Alphabet Inc.

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The Company Wire

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